24137 leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 24137 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24137, ~21% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24137 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24137 leans more Republican than 5 of 9 neighbors.
24137 runs about 49 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24137 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 24137. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 24137 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24137, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
24137 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24137 runs about 49 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 24137, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 24137 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 24137 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 62% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.