12516 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 12516 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12516, ~44% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12516 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12516 leans more Democratic than 11 of 15 neighbors.
Politically, 12516 sits close to the rest of New York.
Why 12516 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12516, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in 12516 hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12516, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 12516 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12516 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in 12516 own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.