14486 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 14486 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14486, ~20% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14486 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14486 leans more Republican than 12 of 23 neighbors.
14486 runs about 44 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14486 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 14486 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14486, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
14486 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14486 runs about 44 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 14486, NY does.
Why turnout in 14486 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 38% of households in 14486 rent, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.