23306 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 23306 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23306, ~29% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23306 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23306 leans more Republican than 10 of 20 neighbors.
23306 runs about 20 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23306 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23306. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+24) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 23306 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23306, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
23306 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23306 runs about 20 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 23306, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 23306 looks the way it does
Turnout in 23306 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.