23358 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 23358 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23358, ~30% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23358 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23358 leans more Republican than 20 of 21 neighbors.
23358 runs about 30 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23358 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 23358 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23358, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 89% of households in 23358 are family households, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 23358 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 82% of zip codes). 23358 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 23358, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 23358 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in 23358 own their home, about 24 points above the Virginia average of 76%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 23358 have completed high school, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.