23454 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 23454 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23454, ~40% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23454 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23454 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 16 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 5 leaning the other way.
23454 runs about 6 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23454. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+36) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 52 points.
Why 23454 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 23454. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 23454, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 23454 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 23454 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.