32219 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 32219 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32219, ~48% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32219 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32219 leans more Democratic than 14 of 21 neighbors.
32219 runs about 36 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32219 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32219. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+83) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+56), a spread of about 139 points.
Why 32219 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32219, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32219 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32219 runs about 36 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32219, FL sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32219 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32219 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.