32209 is a Democratic stronghold. About 91% of voters here vote Democratic and 9% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 32209 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32209, ~53% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32209 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32209 is the most Democratic-leaning.
32209 runs about 95 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32209 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32209. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+83) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+70), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 32209 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32209, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in 32209 live in densely developed areas, about 60 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in 32209 have never been married, above 94% of zip codes. 32209 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 32209, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 32209 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32209 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 35%, about 21 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 53% of households in 32209 rent, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 32209 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.