32703 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 32703 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32703, ~36% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32703 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32703 leans more Democratic than 30 of 40 neighbors.
32703 runs about 26 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32703 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32703. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+50) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 57 points.
Why 32703 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32703, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 32703 is about 35%, about 38 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in 32703 have never been married, above 76% of zip codes. 32703 runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 32703, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 32703 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32703 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.