32968 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 92% of adults in 32968 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32968, ~34% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32968 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32968 leans more Republican than 9 of 14 neighbors.
32968 runs about 13 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32968. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 32968 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32968, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32968 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 66%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 32968, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 32968 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32968 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 32968 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.