33129 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 33129 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33129, ~29% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33129 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33129 leans more Republican than 28 of 64 neighbors.
33129 runs about 7 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Why 33129 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33129, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33129 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33129, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33129 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in 33129 have completed high school, about 7 points above the Florida average of 89%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33129 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.