33130 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 33130 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33130, ~21% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33130 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33130 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 25 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 39 leaning the other way.
33130 runs about 12 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33130. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 33130 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33130. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 33130, FL does.
Why turnout in 33130 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33130 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 29%, about 14 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 83% of households in 33130 rent, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 33130 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.