33128 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 34% of adults in 33128 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33128, ~15% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~66% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33128 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33128 leans more Republican than 33 of 65 neighbors.
Politically, 33128 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33128. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 48 points.
Why 33128 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33128, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33128 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33128, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33128 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33128 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 16 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 96% of households in 33128 rent, compared to around 69% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 33128 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.