33461 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 37% of adults in 33461 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33461, ~19% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33461 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33461 leans more Democratic than 13 of 33 neighbors.
33461 runs about 17 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33461 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33461. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+32) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 33461 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33461, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33461 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33461 runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 33461, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33461 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33461 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 50% of households in 33461 rent, compared to around 33% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 72% of adults in 33461 have completed high school, below 97% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.