33764 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 66% of adults in 33764 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33764, ~29% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33764 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33764 leans more Republican than 36 of 56 neighbors.
Politically, 33764 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Why 33764 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33764, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33764 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 92%, far above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 33764, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33764 looks the way it does
Turnout in 33764 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.