34207 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 34207 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34207, ~24% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34207 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34207 leans more Republican than 7 of 29 neighbors.
34207 runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34207. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+23) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 34207 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34207, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34207 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 34207, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 34207 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34207 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 5 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in 34207 rent, above 86% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in 34207 have completed high school, below 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.