34471 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 34471 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34471, ~33% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34471 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34471 leans more Republican than 4 of 15 neighbors.
Politically, 34471 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34471. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+65) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 102 points.
Why 34471 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34471, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34471 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 89%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34471, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 34471 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34471 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.