34476 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 34476 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34476, ~34% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34476 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34476 leans more Republican than 7 of 15 neighbors.
34476 runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34476. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 34476 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34476, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34476 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34476, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34476 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34476 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%, below 56% of zip codes. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 34476 own their home, compared to around 72% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.