85348 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 85348 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85348, ~19% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85348 compares
85348 runs about 46 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85348. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 85348 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85348, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in 85348 hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 85348, AZ sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 85348 looks the way it does
Turnout in 85348 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.