85707 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 34% of adults in 85707 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85707, ~17% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~66% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85707 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85707 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 24 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 4 leaning the other way.
85707 runs about 4 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole.
Why 85707 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 85707. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 85707, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 85707 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 95% of households in 85707 rent, about 70 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 98% of adults in 85707 have completed high school, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.