86444 is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 86444 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 86444, ~15% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 86444 compares
86444 runs about 50 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why 86444 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 86444, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in 86444 hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 86444, AZ sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 86444 looks the way it does
Turnout in 86444 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.