98433 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 32% of adults in 98433 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 98433, ~16% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 98433 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 98433 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 36 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 8 leaning the other way.
98433 runs about 20 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while 98433 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 98433. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 98433 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 98433, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
98433 votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while 98433 runs about 20 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 98433, WA sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 98433 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 98433 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 98% of households in 98433 rent, compared to around 49% in nearby zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 97% of adults in 98433 have completed high school, above 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.