Alaska Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Alaska

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Alaska is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.

 

About 66% of adults in Alaska typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alaska, ~33% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Alaska compares

Politics vary noticeably by county within Alaska. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 53 points.

Why Alaska leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per state to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alaska, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Alaska votes against the grain of Alaska State. Alaska State leans Republican overall, while Alaska runs about 14 points more Democratic.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Alaska sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Alaska looks the way it does

Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 93% of adults in Alaska have completed high school, above 84% of states. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.