Aleutians West Census Area is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 46% of adults in Aleutians West Census Area typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aleutians West Census Area, ~23% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Aleutians West Census Area compares
Aleutians West Census Area runs about 14 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Aleutians West Census Area sits closer to the political middle.
Why Aleutians West Census Area leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aleutians West Census Area, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Aleutians West Census Area votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Aleutians West Census Area runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Aleutians West Census Area, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Aleutians West Census Area looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 65% of households in Aleutians West Census Area rent, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Aleutians West Census Area sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in Aleutians West Census Area have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Kodiak Island Borough, AK R+16
- Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK D+13
- Bristol Bay Borough, AK Even
- Dillingham Census Area, AK D+19
- Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK R+27
- Aleutians East Borough, AK D+6
- Anchorage Municipality, AK D+20
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK R+33
- Bethel Census Area, AK D+18
- Yakutat City and Borough, AK Even
Counties with Similar Populations
- Delta County, TX R+68
- Martin County, TX R+68
- Dewey County, SD D+30
- Alexander County, IL R+4
- Brule County, SD R+52
- Warren County, GA D+15
- Stevens County, KS R+73
- Polk County, NE R+62
- Carter County, MO R+71
- Coal County, OK R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.