Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Falcon Trace

Falcon Trace leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.

 
Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL block-group political-lean map
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About 65% of adults in Falcon Trace typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Falcon Trace, ~36% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL block-group voter-turnout map
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How Falcon Trace compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Falcon Trace leans more Democratic than 1 of 4 neighbors.

Falcon Trace runs about 23 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Falcon Trace is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Falcon Trace leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Falcon Trace, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Falcon Trace votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Falcon Trace runs about 23 points more Democratic.

Park access and Republican lean

Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.

Why turnout in Falcon Trace looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Falcon Trace is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.