Eloy is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Eloy typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Eloy, ~23% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Eloy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Eloy sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 5 leaning the other way.
Eloy runs about 8 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Eloy. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 49 points.
Why Eloy leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Eloy. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Eloy, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Eloy looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Eloy is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 10 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Eloy report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in Eloy have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Toltec, AZ R+4
- Eleven Mile Corner, AZ R+49
- La Palma, AZ R+46
- Arizona City, AZ R+20
- Randolph, AZ R+48
- Picacho, AZ R+46
- Friendly Corners, AZ R+43
- Casa Grande, AZ R+14
- Coolidge, AZ R+12
- Valley Farms, AZ R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Westchester, IL D+34
- Verona, PA D+26
- Ozark, AL R+24
- Morehead, KY R+29
- Macomb, IL D+8
- Iona, FL R+25
- Mullica Hill, NJ R+16
- Delmar, NY D+41
- Princeton, WV R+48
- Fairview, CA D+42
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.