La Palma leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 59% of adults in La Palma typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in La Palma, ~16% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How La Palma compares
Among cities within 25 miles, La Palma leans more Republican than 17 of 20 neighbors.
La Palma runs about 40 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why La Palma leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for La Palma, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in La Palma hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; La Palma, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in La Palma looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. La Palma is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in La Palma report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in La Palma have completed high school, below 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Eleven Mile Corner, AZ R+49
- Randolph, AZ R+48
- Eloy, AZ D+3
- Toltec, AZ R+4
- Coolidge, AZ R+12
- Valley Farms, AZ R+40
- Adamsville, AZ R+26
- Arizona City, AZ R+20
- Blackwater, AZ D+46
- Picacho, AZ R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adel, OR R+71
- Ardoch, ND R+59
- Buckskin Joe, CO R+42
- Whites City, NM R+73
- Atwood, PA R+62
- Nettleboro, AL D+43
- Canon, CO R+8
- Stone Bridge, SD R+50
- Lumberton, VA R+24
- Gardar, ND R+54
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.