Atascocita is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Atascocita typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Atascocita, ~34% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Atascocita compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Atascocita sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 43 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 9 leaning the other way.
Atascocita runs about 15 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Atascocita sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Atascocita. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+38) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 61 points.
Why Atascocita leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Atascocita, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Atascocita votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Atascocita runs about 15 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Atascocita, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Atascocita looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Atascocita is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Humble, TX Even
- Huffman, TX R+61
- Crosby, TX R+50
- Magnolia Gardens, TX R+13
- Sheldon, TX R+6
- Walden Woods, TX R+48
- Porter, TX R+30
- Barrett, TX D+28
- Eastgate, TX R+62
- New Caney, TX R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wesley Chapel, FL R+6
- Waukesha, WI R+7
- Snellville, GA D+42
- Canoga Park, CA D+27
- Muskegon, MI D+7
- Lawrence, MA D+17
- Deerfield Beach, FL D+16
- Jonesboro, AR R+18
- Ashburn, VA D+23
- Richmond, CA D+60
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.