Magnolia Gardens leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 33% of adults in Magnolia Gardens typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Magnolia Gardens, ~14% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Magnolia Gardens compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Magnolia Gardens leans more Republican than 22 of 59 neighbors.
Politically, Magnolia Gardens sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Magnolia Gardens. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Magnolia Gardens leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Magnolia Gardens, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Magnolia Gardens votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, above 83% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Magnolia Gardens sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 92% of households in Magnolia Gardens are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Magnolia Gardens, TX does.
Why turnout in Magnolia Gardens looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Magnolia Gardens is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 11 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Magnolia Gardens have completed high school, below 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sheldon, TX R+6
- Barrett, TX D+28
- Crosby, TX R+50
- Channelview, TX R+3
- Cloverleaf, TX D+11
- Highlands, TX R+31
- Atascocita, TX Even
- Lynchburg, TX R+39
- Jacinto City, TX D+8
- Galena Park, TX D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tilton, IL R+40
- Buchanan, NY Even
- Harlan, IN R+59
- Gleason, TN R+74
- Bonduel, WI R+50
- Makanda, IL D+6
- Stilson, TX R+57
- Inverness Highlands North, FL R+35
- Laurel, IN R+70
- Albrightsville, PA R+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.