Ballast Point, Tampa, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Ballast Point

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Ballast Point leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 82% of adults in Ballast Point typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ballast Point, ~36% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Ballast Point compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ballast Point leans more Republican than 14 of 15 neighbors.

Politically, Ballast Point sits close to the rest of Florida.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Ballast Point. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+19) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 12 points.

Why Ballast Point leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Ballast Point. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Ballast Point, Tampa, FL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Ballast Point looks the way it does

Turnout in Ballast Point sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.