Bayside West is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Bayside West typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayside West, ~33% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayside West compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bayside West sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 9 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.
Bayside West runs about 15 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Bayside West sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bayside West. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Bayside West leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayside West, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bayside West votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Bayside West runs about 15 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Bayside West, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Bayside West looks the way it does
Turnout in Bayside West sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Fort des Moines, Des Moines, IA D+17
- Knollwood, Kalamazoo, MI D+42
- Camden, Salisbury, MD D+26
- La Cresta-Alta Vista, Bakersfield, CA R+14
- Stanford, Roseville, CA R+5
- Nashua Historic District, Nashua, NH D+24
- Bensville, Waldorf, MD D+53
- Strawberry Hill, Cambridge, MA D+78
- Hall Manor, Harrisburg, PA D+59
- Chapel Hill Village, Indianapolis, IN D+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.