Davis Island leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Davis Island typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Davis Island, ~41% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Davis Island compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Davis Island leans more Republican than 22 of 25 neighbors.
Politically, Davis Island sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Davis Island. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+16) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Davis Island leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Davis Island. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Davis Island, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Davis Island looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Davis Island is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Davis Island have completed high school, above 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- New Irving Park, Greensboro, NC D+26
- Euclid Ave South, Helena, MT D+28
- Oakridge, Garland, TX D+12
- Minnehaha, Minneapolis, MN D+63
- Northwest Triangle, York, PA D+40
- Utah Park, Aurora, CO D+34
- North Loop, Austin, TX D+69
- Arbor Heights, Seattle, WA D+66
- Community Workers Council, San Antonio, TX D+27
- Elizabeth, Charlotte, NC D+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.