Fairoaks is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Fairoaks typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fairoaks, ~32% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fairoaks compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Fairoaks sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 12 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.
Fairoaks runs about 11 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Why Fairoaks leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Fairoaks. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Fairoaks, Tampa, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Fairoaks looks the way it does
Turnout in Fairoaks sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Arroyo Viejo, Oakland, CA D+66
- East del Paso Heights, Sacramento, CA D+20
- Columbus Park, Omaha, NE D+36
- Centennial Park, Santa Ana, CA D+24
- North El Monte, Arcadia, CA D+13
- Boston Road, Springfield, MA D+24
- Suncrest, Orem, UT R+18
- Millside Heights, Riverside, NJ D+9
- East Roseville Parkway, Roseville, CA R+3
- Terra Vista, Bakersfield, CA R+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.