Port Tampa City is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Port Tampa City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Port Tampa City, ~36% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Port Tampa City compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Port Tampa City leans more Democratic than 8 of 9 neighbors.
Port Tampa City runs about 17 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Port Tampa City is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Port Tampa City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Port Tampa City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Port Tampa City votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Port Tampa City runs about 17 points more Democratic.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Port Tampa City, Tampa, FL does.
Why turnout in Port Tampa City looks the way it does
Turnout in Port Tampa City sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Eastridge, Wichita, KS D+23
- Clemente Ranch, Chandler, AZ Even
- High Country, San Antonio, TX D+3
- North Harford Road, Baltimore, MD D+53
- Virginia Ave, Lexington, KY D+41
- Carver City-Lincoln Gardens, Tampa, FL D+23
- Hedgeville, Wilmington, DE D+55
- Cedar Knolls, Bronxville, NY D+26
- Sheldon, Mobile, AL R+13
- Vernon Hill, Worcester, MA D+30
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.