Ashton Heights is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Ashton Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashton Heights, ~62% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashton Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ashton Heights leans more Democratic than 34 of 52 neighbors.
Ashton Heights runs about 56 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Ashton Heights. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+73) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+55), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Ashton Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashton Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 78% of adults in Ashton Heights hold a bachelor's degree, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Ashton Heights sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, above 89% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 54% of adults in Ashton Heights have never been married, above 87% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Ashton Heights, Arlington, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ashton Heights looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ashton Heights is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ballston-Virginia Square, Arlington, VA D+58
- Buckingham, Arlington, VA D+52
- Lyon Park, Arlington, VA D+56
- Clarendon, Arlington, VA D+60
- Lyon Village, Arlington, VA D+63
- Bluemont, Arlington, VA D+60
- Barcroft, Arlington, VA D+48
- Cherrydale, Arlington, VA D+57
- Penrose, Arlington, VA D+58
- Waverly Hills, Arlington, VA D+49
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Thorpe Westwood, Spokane, WA R+9
- Morris Heights, Aurora, CO D+35
- Cardinal Hill-Pine Meadow, Lexington, KY D+40
- North Amherst, Amherst, MA D+75
- Willow Meadows-Willowbend Area, Houston, TX D+36
- Windsor Square, Glendale, AZ Even
- Dam Neck Naval Air Station, Virginia Beach, VA R+3
- Pumphrey, Linthicum, MD D+9
- Sparr Heights, Glendale, CA D+18
- Oak Hills, San Antonio, TX D+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.