Bayonet Point leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Bayonet Point typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayonet Point, ~25% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayonet Point compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bayonet Point leans more Republican than 21 of 42 neighbors.
Bayonet Point runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bayonet Point. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Bayonet Point leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayonet Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bayonet Point votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Bayonet Point sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Bayonet Point, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Bayonet Point looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bayonet Point is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jasmine Estates, FL R+21
- Port Richey, FL R+27
- Hudson, FL R+37
- New Port Richey East, FL R+27
- Moon Lake, FL R+46
- New Port Richey, FL R+27
- Elfers, FL R+26
- Aripeka, FL R+45
- Holiday, FL R+21
- Shady Hills, FL R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Angleton, TX R+31
- Loma Linda, CA D+12
- Candler, NC R+13
- Hastings, MN R+11
- Waianae, HI D+6
- Franklin, NC R+45
- Fresno, TX D+55
- Mount Vernon, OH R+39
- Valencia, CA D+9
- South Pasadena, CA D+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.