Elfers leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Elfers typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elfers, ~20% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elfers compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elfers leans more Republican than 30 of 44 neighbors.
Elfers runs about 13 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Elfers leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elfers, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elfers votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Elfers sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Elfers, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Elfers looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elfers is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Elfers rent, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Holiday, FL R+21
- New Port Richey, FL R+27
- New Port Richey East, FL R+27
- Port Richey, FL R+27
- Jasmine Estates, FL R+21
- Tarpon Springs, FL R+15
- Bayonet Point, FL R+24
- East Lake, FL R+21
- Moon Lake, FL R+46
- Odessa, FL R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Prince Frederick, MD R+14
- Geneseo, NY D+15
- Crestline, CA R+10
- Lakeport, CA R+7
- Lighthouse Point, FL R+21
- Cleves, OH R+48
- Pearsall, TX R+6
- Hamlet, NC R+7
- Brookville, OH R+51
- Jackson, WI R+28
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.