Bayport leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Bayport typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayport, ~46% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayport compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bayport leans more Democratic than 57 of 88 neighbors.
Bayport runs about 10 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bayport. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Bayport leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayport, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 67% of residents in Bayport live in densely developed areas, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 44% of adults in Bayport have never been married, above 96% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bayport, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bayport looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Bayport own their home, about 10 points above the Minnesota average of 82%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oak Park Heights, MN D+16
- North Hudson, WI R+8
- Stillwater, MN D+12
- Houlton, WI R+23
- Lakeland, MN Even
- Lakeland Shores, MN R+2
- Hudson, WI R+8
- Burkhardt, WI R+22
- Lake Elmo, MN D+4
- Lake St. Croix Beach, MN D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elkhart, TX R+74
- West Chazy, NY R+21
- Woodville, MS D+47
- Jamestown, KY R+64
- Bellevue, IA R+37
- Dover Foxcroft, ME R+28
- Sugar Grove, OH R+54
- Goliad, TX R+54
- La Vale, MD R+32
- Awendaw, SC R+10
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.