Lake St. Croix Beach leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Lake St. Croix Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake St. Croix Beach, ~44% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake St. Croix Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake St. Croix Beach leans more Democratic than 49 of 87 neighbors.
Politically, Lake St. Croix Beach sits close to the rest of Minnesota.
Why Lake St. Croix Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake St. Croix Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 43% of residents in Lake St. Croix Beach live in densely developed areas, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Lake St. Croix Beach sits in the top quarter (about 51%, above 94% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Lake St. Croix Beach, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lake St. Croix Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lake St. Croix Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Lake St. Croix Beach own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Lake St. Croix Beach have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Marys Point, MN D+7
- Lakeland Shores, MN R+2
- Lakeland, MN Even
- Afton, MN D+5
- Hudson, WI R+8
- North Hudson, WI R+8
- Bayport, MN D+14
- Woodbury, MN D+22
- Lake Elmo, MN D+4
- Oak Park Heights, MN D+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Washington, IN R+59
- Nickelsville, GA R+75
- Dillingham, NC R+13
- Silverdale, PA R+14
- Ore Spring, TN R+66
- Matewan, WV R+74
- Grubville, MO R+57
- Rio Grande, OH R+57
- Wheaton, MO R+66
- Lunenburg, VT R+37
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.