Stillwater leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Stillwater typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stillwater, ~57% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~-2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stillwater compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stillwater leans more Democratic than 50 of 89 neighbors.
Stillwater runs about 7 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Stillwater. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Stillwater leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stillwater, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 54% of adults in Stillwater hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Stillwater sits in the top fifth on density (about 66%, above 91% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Stillwater, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Stillwater looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Stillwater is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Stillwater have completed high school, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oak Park Heights, MN D+16
- Bayport, MN D+14
- Houlton, WI R+23
- Grant, MN R+11
- North Hudson, WI R+8
- Lake Elmo, MN D+4
- Pine Springs, MN D+4
- Willernie, MN D+12
- Mahtomedi, MN D+16
- Lakeland, MN Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Round Lake Beach, IL D+16
- Parrish, FL R+32
- Burlington, IA Even
- Hartsville, SC R+21
- Chapin, SC R+40
- Watertown, WI R+22
- Sebastopol, CA D+50
- Baldwin, NY D+40
- Monsey, NY R+92
- Harbor City, CA D+27
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.