Bella Vista leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Bella Vista typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bella Vista, ~28% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bella Vista compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bella Vista leans more Republican than 8 of 59 neighbors.
Politically, Bella Vista sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bella Vista. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Bella Vista leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bella Vista, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bella Vista votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 39%, well above the Arkansas average of 13%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bella Vista, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Bella Vista looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bella Vista is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Bella Vista have completed high school, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hiwasse, AR R+52
- Jane, MO R+71
- Pineville, MO R+68
- Centerton, AR R+31
- Bentonville, AR R+14
- Pea Ridge, AR R+54
- Little Flock, AR R+30
- Powell, MO R+69
- Havenhurst, MO R+68
- Gravette, AR R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Linn, OR D+33
- Athens, OH D+41
- Ballston Spa, NY Even
- Lake in the Hills, IL Even
- Fitchburg, WI D+53
- Raytown, MO D+31
- Bethany, OR D+39
- Cave Creek, AZ R+22
- Miami Lakes, FL R+34
- Burton, MI R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.