Blackwater leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Blackwater typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blackwater, ~30% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blackwater compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blackwater leans more Democratic than 22 of 28 neighbors.
Blackwater runs about 51 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Blackwater is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Blackwater. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+59) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 79 points.
Why Blackwater leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blackwater, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Blackwater votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Blackwater runs about 51 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Blackwater have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Blackwater, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Blackwater looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Blackwater is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 19 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 46% of adults in Blackwater report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Blackwater have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Adamsville, AZ R+26
- Coolidge, AZ R+12
- Valley Farms, AZ R+40
- Sacaton Flats, AZ D+63
- Florence, AZ R+17
- Randolph, AZ R+48
- San Tan Valley, AZ R+24
- Eleven Mile Corner, AZ R+49
- Sacaton, AZ D+50
- Chandler Heights, AZ R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Simmonsville, VA R+64
- Blooming Rose, MO R+72
- The Narrows, NY R+45
- Hamer, NC Even
- Estiffanulga, FL R+73
- Ogletown, PA R+60
- Mannington, KY R+69
- Sterlington, NY R+11
- Wenona, GA R+62
- Whitewood, VA R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.