Bonita Long Canyon leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Bonita Long Canyon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bonita Long Canyon, ~43% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bonita Long Canyon compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bonita Long Canyon is the least Democratic-leaning.
Bonita Long Canyon runs about 13 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Bonita Long Canyon leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Bonita Long Canyon. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bonita Long Canyon, Bonita, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bonita Long Canyon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bonita Long Canyon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Bonita Long Canyon own their home, compared to around 74% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Rancho del Rey, Chula Vista, CA D+15
- East Lake, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Paseo Ranchoero, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- San Miguel Ranch, Chula Vista, CA D+11
- Lynwood Hills, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Terra Nova, Chula Vista, CA D+14
- Otay Ranch, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Estlake Greens, Chula Vista, CA D+17
- Rolling Hills Ranch, Chula Vista, CA D+9
- Sunbow, Chula Vista, CA D+18
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Downtown Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ D+45
- East Community Team South, Kansas City, MO D+61
- University Heights and Rosedale Hills, Indianapolis, IN D+13
- Downtown Village of Holly, Holly, MI R+14
- Ypsilanti Historic District, Ypsilanti, MI D+65
- Lakeview, Buffalo, NY D+51
- College Hills, San Angelo, TX R+29
- Greenbriar, Glendale, AZ R+4
- Buechel, Louisville, KY D+31
- Hawthorne, Middle River, MD D+24
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.