Terra Nova leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Terra Nova typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Terra Nova, ~35% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Terra Nova compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Terra Nova leans more Democratic than 2 of 20 neighbors.
Terra Nova runs about 6 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Terra Nova. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+19) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+8), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Terra Nova leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Terra Nova. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Terra Nova, Chula Vista, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Terra Nova looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in Terra Nova have more than one occupant per room, above 83% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lynwood Hills, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Rancho del Rey, Chula Vista, CA D+15
- Sunbow, Chula Vista, CA D+18
- Paseo Ranchoero, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Downtown Chula Vista, Chula Vista, CA D+26
- Paradise Hills, San Diego, CA D+21
- Bonita Long Canyon, Bonita, CA D+7
- Mission Bay, San Diego, CA D+21
- Boal, Chula Vista, CA D+23
- Bay Terraces, San Diego, CA D+20
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Midtown, Tucson, AZ D+33
- The Trails, Las Vegas, NV D+9
- Creighton Village, Old Bridge, NJ R+24
- Somerville, Manchester, NH D+26
- Chevy Chase, Glendale, CA D+3
- Riverside Rancho, Glendale, CA D+38
- Old North Sacramento, Sacramento, CA D+39
- Whisman Station, Mountain View, CA D+45
- Clifton Heights, Louisville, KY D+44
- Coronado Hills, Austin, TX D+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.