Breckinridge County is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Breckinridge County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Breckinridge County, ~15% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Breckinridge County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Breckinridge County leans more Republican than 14 of 19 neighbors.
Breckinridge County runs about 28 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Breckinridge County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+53), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Breckinridge County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Breckinridge County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 11% of residents in Breckinridge County live in densely developed areas, about 7 points below the Kentucky average of 18%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Breckinridge County fits that profile on both counts.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Breckinridge County, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Breckinridge County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 82% of households in Breckinridge County own their home, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Meade County, KY R+49
- Grayson County, KY R+63
- Hancock County, KY R+52
- Perry County, IN R+39
- Hardin County, KY R+27
- Ohio County, KY R+63
- Harrison County, IN R+50
- Spencer County, IN R+49
- Daviess County, KY R+31
- Crawford County, IN R+52
Counties with Similar Populations
- Uinta County, WY R+62
- Greene County, NC R+15
- Carbon County, UT R+56
- Lincoln County, WV R+65
- Woodward County, OK R+63
- Jay County, IN R+58
- Fulton County, IN R+51
- Henry County, IA R+31
- Buchanan County, VA R+67
- Clay County, KY R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.