Bristow, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Bristow

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Bristow leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 85% of adults in Bristow typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bristow, ~33% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Bristow compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Bristow leans more Republican than 101 of 122 neighbors.

Bristow runs about 28 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Bristow is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bristow. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Bristow leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bristow, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Bristow votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Bristow runs about 28 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Bristow are family households, above 82% of cities.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bristow, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Bristow looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bristow is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.