Cahuilla leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Cahuilla typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cahuilla, ~17% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cahuilla compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cahuilla leans more Republican than 22 of 26 neighbors.
Cahuilla runs about 47 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Cahuilla is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Cahuilla leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cahuilla, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cahuilla votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Cahuilla runs about 47 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Cahuilla sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 91% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Cahuilla, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cahuilla looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 22% of adults in Cahuilla report food insecurity, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Cahuilla have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Anza, CA R+20
- Holcomb Village, CA R+34
- Aguanga, CA R+34
- Thomas Mountain, CA R+17
- Radec, CA R+41
- Sage, CA R+42
- Idyllwild, CA R+18
- Mountain Center, CA R+19
- Fern Valley, CA D+9
- Idyllwild-Pine Cove, CA D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sandcut, IN R+39
- Speed, MO R+65
- Brush Creek, CA R+27
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.