Cantua Creek, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Cantua Creek

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Cantua Creek is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.

 

About 39% of adults in Cantua Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cantua Creek, ~19% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Cantua Creek compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Cantua Creek sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 8 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 4 leaning the other way.

Cantua Creek runs about 20 points more Republican than California as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cantua Creek. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 23 points.

Why Cantua Creek leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Cantua Creek. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Cantua Creek, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Cantua Creek looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cantua Creek is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 25 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 74% of households in Cantua Creek rent, compared to around 58% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 47% of adults in Cantua Creek report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.