Northwest, El Paso, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Northwest

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Northwest leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Northwest typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northwest, ~33% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Northwest compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Northwest leans more Democratic than 1 of 3 neighbors.

Northwest runs about 22 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Northwest is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Northwest. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Northwest leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northwest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Northwest votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Northwest runs about 22 points more Democratic.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Northwest, El Paso, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Northwest looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Northwest is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.