Mesa Hills, El Paso, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mesa Hills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Mesa Hills leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.

 

About 39% of adults in Mesa Hills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mesa Hills, ~24% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Mesa Hills compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mesa Hills leans more Democratic than 3 of 5 neighbors.

Mesa Hills runs about 33 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Mesa Hills is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Mesa Hills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mesa Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Mesa Hills votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Mesa Hills runs about 33 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in Mesa Hills have never been married, above 83% of neighborhoods.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mesa Hills, El Paso, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Mesa Hills looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mesa Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 8 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 80% of households in Mesa Hills rent, compared to around 38% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.